End of Season Quarterback Rankings: How Hot Is Patrick Mahomes' Seat at the Top After the 2024 Season?

After the Philadelphia Eagles trounced the Kansas City Chiefs 40–22 in Super Bowl LIX, the 2024 NFL season is officially over. With that, it is time for the first ever Silcoff End of Season Quarterback Rankings. I will rank quarterbacks using a fair system that accounts for 40% of their performance from this past season and 60% of their body of work. Some QBs solidified their greatness, others took a step back, and a few surprise names made serious leaps. Let’s break it all down.

Some quarterbacks won’t appear on this list due to a limited sample size or because they were never truly viewed as a QB1. That includes:

• Michael Penix Jr.

• JJ McCarthy

• Aidan O'Connell

• Jameis Winston

• Drew Lock

• Justin Fields

Now, let’s dive into the rankings.

30. Deshaun Watson, Cleveland Browns

Watson is just a shell of his former self. Off the field drama, injuries, and inconsistency have made his tenure in Cleveland disastrous.

29. Will Levis, Tennessee Titans

Will Levis has shown flashes of potential, but inconsistency and struggles under pressure kept him near the bottom of the rankings. If the Titans move on, I hope he lands with an elite coaching staff that can help him develop.

28. Anthony Richardson, Indianapolis Colts

Anthony Richardson has all the tools to be a great quarterback, but inconsistency remains just as much of a concern as the injuries and drama that defined his second season.

27. Kirk Cousins, Atlanta Falcons

Kirk Cousins' first year in Atlanta could not have gone worse, coming off an Achilles tear, but he still has a chance to find new life elsewhere in 2025.

26. Derek Carr, New Orleans Saints

Derek Carr's 2024 season was defined by injuries after a strong start in the first two weeks. I expect the Saints to move on, and Carr will likely be looking for a new home in 2025.

25. Aaron Rodgers, New York Jets

Aaron Rodgers’ disastrous 5-12 with Jets season has already led the team to announce they’re moving on from him this spring. The question now is whether the first-ballot Hall of Famer wants to continue playing elsewhere in 2025 or finally hang up the cleats.

24. Caleb Williams, Chicago Bears

Caleb Williams didn’t live up to the immense hype coming into the year, but the potential was clear as he showed flashes of brilliance despite taking too many sacks. Under new coach Ben Johnson, I expect Williams to make a major leap in 2025, but for now, he remains here.

23. Bryce Young, Carolina Panthers

Young, the 2023 first pick, finally showed his potential after being benched to start the season. He will look to carry the momentum from his strong second half into 2025.

22. Russell Wilson, Pittsburgh Steelers

Russell Wilson showed signs of being an above-average quarterback once again in 2024, but his inconsistencies toward the end of the season and inability to fully reclaim his former greatness keep him lingering in the middle of the rankings.

21. Drake Maye, New England Patriots

Drake Maye impressed in his rookie season, showcasing his strong arm and poise, and with a completely revamped staff, including new head coach Mike Vrabel and offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels, expect him to make a big leap in 2025.

20. Trevor Lawrence, Jacksonville Jaguars

Injuries over the past two years have hindered the progress we saw from Trevor Lawrence in 2022. 2025 should be the year we finally find out who he truly is as a quarterback.

19. Tua Tagovailoa, Miami Dolphins

Tua Tagovailoa has shown he can be an good quarterback when healthy, but concussion concerns and inconsistency at times have kept him from reaching his full potential.

18. Bo Nix, Denver Broncos

Bo Nix showed promise in his rookie season with the Denver Broncos, as he took the team to the playoffs for the first since 2016. In 2025, the question will be whether we’re already seeing the player he is due to his age, or if he still has significant room to improve and reach his full potential.

17.  Sam Darnold, Minnesota Vikings

Sam Darnold was perhaps the feel-good story of the season for his first 16 games, but his disastrous performances in Week 18 and the Wild Card round left a sour taste. It will be interesting to see how much and where Darnold signs this offseason as he looks to prove he can build on his success

16. Brock Purdy, San Francisco 49ers

Brock Purdy has shown poise and efficiency in his two full seasons as the 49ers' starter, but 2024 was a year full of injuries and inconsistency. With changes coming for the team in 2025, will it challenge his ability to maintain that level of play. One of the big stories this offseason will be how much and how long the Niners sign Purdy, as he heads into year 4.

15. Kyler Murray, Arizona Cardinals

Kyler Murray showed flashes of his old self after returning from injury, but his inconsistency and struggles to adapt to a new system kept him from fully regaining his form. In 2025, the question will be whether he can stay healthy and make the necessary improvements to elevate his play and lead the Cardinals.

14. Geno Smith, Seattle Seahawks

Geno Smith had a solid 2024 season, continuing to defy expectations as the Seahawks' leader, but inconsistency at times, specifically struggling with interceptions, prevented him from taking the next step. In 2025, the focus will be on whether he can maintain his high level of play or if Seattle will look for a younger, more dynamic option at quarterback.

13. Baker Mayfield, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Baker Mayfield had a career season in 2024, showing leadership and resilience with the Buccaneers. In 2025, he’ll need to prove he can sustain success and continue to evolve as a reliable QB1 for his team.

12. Jordan Love, Green Bay Packers

Jordan Love showed promise in 2024, but a knee injury in Week 1 likely contributed to some regression as the season went on. In 2025, the expectation will be for him to build on the flashes of talent he displayed and show more consistency as he takes full control of the Packers' offense.

11. Jared Goff, Detroit Lions

Jared Goff had a strong 2024 season, leading the Lions' high-powered offense, but 2025 will be a crucial year as he navigates a season without offensive coordinator Ben Johnson. How Goff adapts to the change and maintains his level of play will be key to the Lions' success moving forward.

10. Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys

Kicking off the top 10 is Dak Prescott, whose 2024 campaign was cut short by an injury that ended his season early. When healthy, Prescott remains one of the league's most better quarterbacks, but his ability to stay on the field will be crucial for the Cowboys in 2025.

9. Justin Herbert, Los Angeles Chargers

Justin Herbert at No. 9 might feel a bit low, but I just haven’t seen the year-to-year improvement you’d expect from a quarterback of his talent. He still feels like the same guy he was as a rookie—excellent, but not significantly better. After his brutal Wild Card loss to the Texans, where he threw four interceptions, few quarterbacks have more to prove in 2025.

8. C.J. Stroud, Houston Texans

C.J. Stroud may have had a bit of a sophomore slump, but much of that can be attributed to poor offensive line play and injuries to his wide receivers. Despite the setbacks, he continued to showcase his elite talent, and with better protection in 2025, I expect him to take another leap forward. The fact that he has won playoff games in each of his first two seasons puts him in rare company and speaks to his ability to rise to the occasion.

7. Jayden Daniels, Washington Commanders

Daniels had the best rookie season ever, leading the Commanders all the way to the NFC Championship Game and proving he belongs among the league’s top quarterbacks. As he heads into Year 2, the challenge will be avoiding a sophomore slump and continuing to refine his game. If he does, the sky’s the limit for his future.

6. Matthew Stafford, Los Angeles Rams

Matthew Stafford proved that he’s still one of the league’s elite quarterbacks when healthy, leading the Rams to another deep playoff run. His arm talent remains among the best in the NFL, but at 37 years old, durability will be a major question moving forward. If he can stay on the field, Stafford gives the Rams a real shot at contending once again in 2025.

5. Jalen Hurts, Philadelphia Eagles

The Super Bowl MVP, can certainly be inconsistent at times, but when the games matter most, he steps up and delivers. He’s a straight-up winner, and his ability to rise to the occasion is what sets him apart. As of now, Hurts unquestionably deserves a spot in the top five.

4. Joe Burrow, Cincinnati Bengals

In 2024, Joe Burrow had a fantastic season, posting career-highs with 4,918 throwing yards and 43 touchdowns. Despite his personal successes, the Bengals fell short of many expectations as they ended the season with a 9-8 record amd missed the playoffs. He is a top-tier talent because of his poise, precision, and his ability to perform under pressure. He will undoubtedly be back in the MVP discussion if he can remain healthy in 2025 and the Bengals get back their winning ways.

3. Lamar Jackson, Baltimore Ravens

Lamar Jackson almost won back-to-back MVPs in 2024 and had the best year of his career, showcasing his elite ability as both a passer and a runner. However, for Jackson, it’s all about the postseason now. As talented as he is, he needs to prove he can carry the Ravens deep into the playoffs and secure a championship to truly solidify his legacy.

2. Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills

Josh Allen had an incredible 2024 season, winning his first career MVP, cutting down on turnovers, and leading the Buffalo Bills to the AFC Championship Game. Like Lamar Jackson, though, for Allen, it’s all about the playoffs now. He’s proven himself in the regular season, but to cement his legacy, he needs to take the Bills to the next level and secure a Super Bowl title.

1. Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City Chiefs

Patrick Mahomes is still the best quarterback in football, but it’s important to acknowledge that his last two regular seasons haven’t quite lived up to the lofty expectations we’ve come to expect from him, especially statistically. Mahomes should still be considered the best in the NFL, but for the first time, you can make an argument that his seat is getting warm. With the continued emergence of other top quarterbacks, the pressure will be on Mahomes to reclaim his dominant form and lead the Chiefs back to the Super Bowl.

Recap of The Silcoff End of Season Quarterback Rankings:

1. Patrick Mahomes – Kansas City Chiefs

2. Josh Allen – Buffalo Bills

3. Lamar Jackson – Baltimore Ravens

4. Joe Burrow – Cincinnati Bengals

5. Jalen Hurts – Philadelphia Eagles

6. Matthew Stafford – Los Angeles Rams

7. Jayden Daniels – Washington Commanders

8. C.J. Stroud – Houston Texans

9. Justin Herbert – Los Angeles Chargers

10. Dak Prescott – Dallas Cowboys

11. Jared Goff – Detroit Lions

12. Jordan Love – Green Bay Packers

13. Baker Mayfield – Tampa Bay Buccaneers

14. Geno Smith – Seattle Seahawks

15. Kyler Murray – Arizona Cardinals

16. Brock Purdy – San Francisco 49ers

17. Sam Darnold – Minnesota Vikings

18. Bo Nix – Denver Broncos

19. Tua Tagovailoa – Miami Dolphins

20. Trevor Lawrence – Jacksonville Jaguars

21. Drake Maye – New England Patriots

22. Russell Wilson – Pittsburgh Steelers

23. Bryce Young – Carolina Panthers

24. Caleb Williams – Chicago Bears

25. Aaron Rodgers – New York Jets

26. Derek Carr – New Orleans Saints

27. Kirk Cousins – Atlanta Falcons

28. Anthony Richardson – Indianapolis Colts

29. Will Levis – Tennessee Titans

30. Deshaun Watson – Cleveland Browns